Turkey Hatchery ISSN: 1949-1964 Released February 14, 2025, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Eggs in Incubators on February 1 Down 4 Percent from Last Year Turkey eggs in incubators on February 1, 2025 in the United States totaled 24.5 million, down 4 percent from February 1, 2024. Eggs in incubators were down 1 percent from the January 1, 2025 total of 24.7 million eggs. Poults Hatched During January Down 1 Percent from Last Year Turkey poults hatched during January 2025 in the United States totaled 21.4 million, down 1 percent from January 2024. Poults hatched were up 3 percent from the December 2024 total of 20.7 million poults. Net Poults Placed During January Down 1 Percent from Last Year The 19.7 million net poults placed during January 2025 in the United States were down 1 percent from the number placed during the same month a year earlier. Net poult placements were up 3 percent from the December 2024 total of 19.1 million. Eggs in Incubators and Poults Hatched by Month - United States: 2023-2025 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Eggs in incubators first of month: Percent of : Poults hatched entire month : Percent of Month :---------------------------------: :---------------------------------: : 2023-2024 : 2024-2025 : previous year : 2023-2024 : 2024-2025 : previous year ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ------ 1,000 eggs ----- percent ----- 1,000 poults ---- percent : September ........: 26,636 24,993 94 21,571 20,230 94 October ..........: 27,010 24,947 92 22,665 21,021 93 November .........: 25,537 24,862 97 21,668 20,962 97 December .........: 25,346 24,501 97 21,671 20,700 96 January ..........: 24,945 24,676 99 21,527 21,372 99 February .........: 25,422 24,487 96 20,274 March ............: 24,689 21,676 April ............: 26,341 21,366 May ..............: 25,003 21,706 June .............: 22,806 19,739 July .............: 23,906 21,115 August ...........: 24,860 20,691 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Net Poult Placements by Month - United States: 2023-2025 [Includes imports and excludes exports. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Total all breeds : Percent of : Cumulative total : Percent of Month :---------------------------------: :---------------------------------: : 2023-2024 : 2024-2025 : previous year : 2023-2024 : 2024-2025 : previous year ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ----- 1,000 poults ---- percent ----- 1,000 poults ----- percent : September ........: 19,091 17,917 94 19,091 17,917 94 October ..........: 20,645 19,156 93 39,736 37,073 93 November .........: 19,934 19,239 97 59,670 56,312 94 December .........: 19,807 19,076 96 79,477 75,388 95 January ..........: 19,795 19,665 99 99,272 95,053 96 February .........: 18,542 117,814 March ............: 20,246 138,060 April ............: 20,105 158,165 May ..............: 20,619 178,784 June .............: 18,886 197,670 July .............: 20,987 218,657 August ...........: 20,098 238,755 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: Data for turkey hatchery estimates are collected from all known turkey hatcheries. Individual NASS regional field offices maintain a list of all known turkey hatcheries and use known sources of hatcheries to update their lists. Approximately 40 hatcheries in 20 states are contacted each month. All known turkey hatcheries hatching 15,000 or more poults annually are mailed a questionnaire as close to the first of the month as possible. Adequate time is given to respond via mail, fax, or electronic data reporting. Those that do not respond are contacted by phone. Care is exercised to ensure that all hatcheries are accounted for in the estimate. Estimating Procedures: Sound statistical methodology is employed to derive the estimates from reported data. All data are analyzed for unusual values. Data from each operation are compared to their own past operating profile and to trends from similar operations. Data for missing operations were estimated based on similar operations or historical data. NASS regional field offices prepare these estimates by using a combination of survey indications and historic trends. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness. Individual hatchery data are summed to State, regional, and United States totals. Only United States level estimates are published due to the limited number of hatcheries involved. The Net Poult Placement data include imported poults and exclude exported poults. Cumulative net poult placements beginning on September 1 and ending on August 31 are shown in the monthly Turkey Hatchery report. This time period corresponds with the placements of poults which will reach maturity and be available for slaughter during the calendar year. Revision Policy: Revisions are generally the result of late or corrected data. Revisions to the previous month are published in the monthly Turkey Hatchery report, while annual revisions are published in the Hatchery Production - Annual Summary report in April. Reliability: Turkey hatchery estimates are based on a census of all known operating hatcheries and therefore, have no sampling error. However, estimates are subject to errors such as omission, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. While these errors cannot be measured directly, they are minimized through strict quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for turkey eggs in incubators on the first day of the month over the past 24 months is 2.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 24.5 million eggs by more than 2.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 3.9 percent. Reliability of February Turkey Hatchery Estimates [Based on data for the past 24 months] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate :square error : confidence : : : : : : : level :------------------------------------------------------ Item : : : : : : Months : : : : : :--------------------------- : : :Average :Smallest:Largest :Below latest :Above latest ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent percent -------- 1,000 ------- ---- number ---- : Eggs in incubators ................: 2.3 3.9 385 10 2,202 11 13 : Poults hatched ....................: 1.1 1.9 156 6 833 13 11 : Net poult placements ..............: 1.3 2.2 181 5 826 13 11 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E- mail inquiries may be sent to nass@usda.gov Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch ..................................................................................................... (202) 692-0069 Ryan Cowen, Acting Head, Poultry and Specialty Commodities Section ...................................................... (202) 720-3040 Holly Brenize - Poultry Slaughter......................................................................................................... (202) 720-0585 Fatema Haque - Turkey Hatchery, Turkeys Raised ........................................................................................... (202) 720-3244 Derron Martin - Catfish and Trout, Mink, Census of Aquaculture, Egg Products.............................................................. (202) 690-3237 Seth Riggins - Honey, Honey Bee Colonies ................................................................................................. (202) 690-4870 Shulonda Shaw - Cold Storage, Capacity of Refrigerated Warehouses ........................................................................ (202) 720-3240 Autumn Stone - Layers, Eggs .............................................................................................................. (202) 690-3676 Takiyah Walker - Chicken Hatchery, Broiler Hatchery....................................................................................... (202) 720-6147 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov. Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit www.nass.usda.gov and click on "National" or "State" in upper right corner above "search" box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive. 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